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WTC FEATURED
SPEAKERS
Presentation at the World Trade Center of New Orleans
by
Alejandro
Lainez
Investment
Executive
Center of Export & Investment of Nicaragua
on the topic of
"Rebuilding Central
Americas Economies:
U.S. Programs In Support Of Central American
Reconstruciton And Development"
June 11, 1999
A Synthesis of
Nicaragua before Mitch:
- In the 80s: Flight of human capital, sharp contraction of financial
resources for maintenance and improvement, civil war.
- Accumulation of large debt
- Serious deterioration of infrastructure
- 1990´s:
Achieved substantial progress in strengthening its democracy, developing a
market economy and establishing a social policy.
- From hyperinflation in 80´s (>30,000%) to single digit in 1997(7%), 1998 (18%)
- GDP growth 1997 (5%), 1998 (4.3%), 1999 (7% projected)
- Cut international debt from 11.2 to 6.2 billion USD
- Exports have tripled
However: Infrastructure backlog still was an unresolved challenge -- US$ 0.6 to 1.0
billion for the urban and non-urban road network alone. Poor infrastructure impeded
recovery of production, employment, and exports.
The impact of hurricane Mitch
On transportation, power, housing and telecommunications infrastructure:
- 3,045 dead, 18% of population affected
- 151,215 homes damaged(roughly 30,000 destroyed)
- US$ 326 million (UNDP) in damages, 94% of which in the road sector
- Two thirds of the road network affected (5,695 km)
- 29 bridges destroyed(1,933 meters)
- Three hydro plants suffered major damages (150 MW affected)
- 10 high voltage transmission lines interrupted by the collapse of towers
- Serious damages to the electricity distribution network in affected
communities
- For several days, 172 towns and villages were isolated
On the rural economy:
- Losses in the 1998-1999 crops
- Longer term losses due to:
- Damage to permanent plantations
- Loss of topsoil
- Loss of herds
- Other capital losses
A basic strategic element:
Expanding the private sectors role
- Required to increase efficiency and obtain capital needed for improvement and expansion
of infrastructure services.
Achievements to date:
- Laws enacted to:
- Separate regulatory from operational activities in telecommunications and electric
power (1995)
- Allow the concessioning of roads to the private sector (1996)
- Regulate the exploration, extraction, and commercialization of hydrocarbons
(1998)
- Allow the leasing of the fuel distribution company PETRONIC (1998)
- Segment the electric power company (ENEL) into separate enterprises for
generation, transmission, and distribution (1998)
- Permit the concessioning or divestiture of generation and distribution activities (1998)
- Allow the privatization of a 40% controlling share of equity capital of the telecommunications
company (ENITEL)
- Schedule approved to bring rate structures closer to long-term marginal costs in
power and telecommunications
Expanding the private sectors role:
Further actions planned
- In the road network:
- Privatization of all but three of government-owned construction enterprises, and
transformation of remaining ones into minimum-capacity provincial road maintenance units,
by end-2000
- Private concessioning of:
- Rehabilitation, widening, or construction, and operation and maintenance, of a few road
links (Managua-Masaya, Managua by-pass, etc.)
- Maintenance of a larger number of links (promote participation of small and micro
enterprises)
- Implementation of Road Maintenance Fund
- Other cost recovery measures
- In energy:
- Regulatory framework for wholesale market of electric power in place by mid-1999
- 43% of electric power generation capacity supplied by private agents by end-1999
- Segmentation of electric power company (ENEL) into separate enterprises for generation,
transmission, and distribution completed by end-1999
- Privatization of distribution companies in 2000, followed by generation companies
- Part of the proceeds from privatization to provide seed capital for rural
electrification
- Future private investment opportunities in power generation concentrated in clean energy
sources: biomass, geothermal, hydro, and wind
- PETRONIC leased to a private operator in 1999
- In telecommunications: Privatization of ENITEL in 1999
- In ports and airports:
Preparation of their privatization in the rest of 1999
However, substantial public investment is still required in 1999-2003
- In roads:
- Most of the major maintenance, rehabilitation, and improvement works
- In ports and airports:
- Core initial investment needed to put the ports of Corinto and Rama in acceptable
operating conditions while privatization can proceed
- Urgent rehabilitation in other ports and airports
- In electric power:
- Repair of hurricane damages
- Expansion and improvement of transmission network
- Seed capital in rural electrification
- In telecommunications:
- Repair of hurricane damages
- Possibly some seed capital in rural telecommunications
- These works can help in providing much needed transitory employment, especially in the
areas hardest hit by the hurricane.
Summary of investment priorities in infrastructure
(Mill. US$)

Presented priority
criteria can help adjust the program to fit within macroeconomically viable ceilings.
Road network
Policies and public investment needs
The challenges
- Total non-urban road network:
| 1942 |
1979 |
end 1998 |
| 200 km |
17,800 km |
18,900 km |
-- of which paved: 1,700 km (9%)
A country with Nicaraguas extension and per capita GDP should have at least 5,000
km more of roads than it has now.
- Density of paved roads
(13 m per square km) is only about 1/5 of that in Cuba or
Jamaica, and 1/30 of that in Belgium or Japan.
- Rehabilitation investment backlog:
Non urban
-- Before Mitch US$ 400 to 600 million
-- Replacement cost of damages US$ 300 million
Urban US$ 200 to 400 million
TOTAL: US$ 900 to 1,300 million
(Estimated costs depend on standards assumed for rehabilitation.)
Financing strategy
- Cofinancing by bilateral donors and multilateral agencies
- Mobilize private sector financing
- Use bilateral cofinancing to obtain the necessary degree of concessionality
- Give road links in concession
- Evaluate possible cost recovery schemes:
- Tolls for using specific road links or bridges
- Toll charges to border-to-border transit traffic
- Surcharge on fuel
- Annual fees according to vehicle types and their contribution to road deterioration
- Special charges on large vehicles, to recover the cost of extra capacity
- Traffic fines
- Direct charges to individuals or communities whose property increases in value
- Cost sharing with local governments and communities
- Pilot program for such projects as:
- Paving access roads, village squares, and pedestrian lanes
- Building shoulders and bicycle lanes
- Improving dangerous intersections
- Reducing dust formation in roads
- Road maintenance fund
Priority public investment programs
- Urgent flood protection
- Urgent bridge reconstruction on main corridors
- Complete reconstruction or repair of larger bridges on main corridors and important
feeders
- Nation-wide paved road major maintenance
(sponsored by World Bank)
- Rural road rehabilitation
(sponsored by IDB)
- Rural road stabilization and improvement
(sponsored by World Bank)

Priority public investment programs (cont.)
Full rehabilitation or improvement of main corridors and feeders. Reconstruction,
major rehabilitation, widening, or paving, as can be financed and is economically and
socially justified
Suburban network around Managua.(some World Bank and IDB projects)
Pacific natural corridor and feeder roads (World Bank, DANIDA)
Pan-American North corridor and feeder roads (IDB)
Eastern corridor and feeder roads (DANIDA, IDB, World Bank)
North-eastern corridor
Urban road improvement and maintenance fund.
Nation-wide road safety program.
Investment priorities in the road network (Mill. US$)

Ports and airports

Strategic criteria
National Priority: Access to the Atlantic at competitive costs
Short term options:
Reducing transportation costs to Cortés (Honduras) and Limón (C.Rica)
- Expediting procedures at border crossings
- Improving road conditions
- Promoting competition among truck operators
Reactivating services at El Rama river port (on the Nicaraguan
Caribbean)
- Improving road
- Dredging the river mouth (El Escondido)
- Promoting private development of the port and services
Improving port services at Corinto (on the Nicaraguan Pacific)
- Installing additional container crane
- Improving efficiency: Load and unload 200-300 TEUs in 12 hours
- Attracting additional cargo volume from other Central American ports on the Pacific
- Attracting weekly service between Corinto and hub port of Manzanillo, Panamá
- Privatizing port and services
Medium term options:
Privatizing development and services of ports and airports
Private project for barge navigation through San Juan river
Private inter-oceanic railroad corridor projects: feasible with only C.A. cargo?
Investment priorities in ports and airports (Mill. US$)

Rural and Urban Housing
Policies and public investment needs
Strategic criteria
- There was a housing deficit equal to 378,627 homes before Hurricane Mitch
- Damaged Home Repair Project:
- A voucher equal to $750.00 will be given to rural home owners to repair their damaged
homes. 17,566 homes will be repaired with an estimated cost of $12.3 million in 1999
- Emergency Housing Project
- 10, 000 kits of construction materials will be given to families that are in shelters
for the auto-construction of homes. Estimated cost of $25 million in 1999
- Reduction of Housing Deficit Project
- Build 15,000 per year at an estimated cost of $4,500.00 per house. The estimated cost is
$22.5 million per year (2000-2002)
- Social Fund for Housing
- Private home developers can present projects to be approved so that the State will
contribute from 20 to 37.5 % of cost of the house.
| Cost of house Usd$ |
Government subsidy % |
| 10,000 |
20.0 |
| 7,000 |
25.0 |
| 4,000 |
37.5 |
Electric Power
Policies and public investment needs
Strategic criteria
- Creation of a competitive electricity market
- As of May of 1999, 20% of the 396 MW domestically generated potential is supplied by
private sector
- For the remaining of 1999, further contracts are being negotiated with the private
sector for an additional capacity of 115 MW
- By end-1999, there will be an estimated capacity surplus of 57 MW, necessary for a major
overhaul or scrapping of some of the old thermal plants
- Expansions, from 2000 onward, through private investment in a competitive market
- Rural electrification
- Goal: 400,000 additional connections
- Cost: ~US$ 400 million
- Financing: US$ 100 million from ENEL privatization, US$ 150 million from the private
sector and beneficiary communities, US$ 150 millions from donors
Investment priorities in electric power (Mill. US$)

Telecommunications
Policies and public investment needs
Strategic criteria
Goal: Increase density from 4 lines per 100 persons as of end-1998, to 16 lines by 2004
Annual investment requirements: US$ 122 million
Private investors will have to finance and implement this expansion
To this end, 40% of ENITEL will be privatized in 1999
Investment priorities in telecommunications (Mill. US$)

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